Previous research shows that the position on the ballot list strongly influences the electoral success of candidates. However, the underlying mechanisms of this effect remain unclear. The list position can have a direct influence through a so-called primacy effect, parties may anticipate on the success of candidates, or the effect can be mediated by factors such as media attention and campaign intensity. Using data from the Antwerp district elections in 2012, this paper disentangles these mechanisms. Our study confirms the direct ballot list position effect, providing evidence for the existence of a primacy effect. However, we find that part of the ballot list position effect is mediated by media attention, especially for the first candidate on the list. Campaign intensity also influences the electoral success of candidates, but does not mediate the list position effect. Finally, we find no evidence that parties successfully anticipate on the electoral success of candidates. |
Res Publica
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Introduction |
Personalisering van de politiek: een multidimensioneel begrip |
Authors | Peter Van Aelst and Kees Aarts |
Author's information |
Article |
Het primacy-effect in proportionele systemen gewikt en gewogenDe casus van de Antwerpse districtsverkiezingen 2012 |
Keywords | preferential voting, political candidates, primacy effect, media, campaigns |
Authors | Patrick van Erkel and Peter Thijssen |
AbstractAuthor's information |
Article |
Van goudwaarde in verkiezingstijden?Electorale presidentialisering van het burgemeesterschap in Vlaanderen |
Keywords | mayor, elections, preference votes, personalization, presidentialization |
Authors | Johannes Rodenbach, Bram Wauters and Kristof Steyvers |
AbstractAuthor's information |
Presidentialization involves a shift in focus from collective actors (such as parties) to one person, in this case the mayor. It is a specific form of personalization which focusses on one rather than on several individuals. Electoral presidentialization, which constitutes one of the diverse features of this phenomenon, was studied at the local level in Flanders (Belgium). By formulating hypotheses based on theoretical and empirical insights on personalization (referring to several politicians), we have tried to figure out whether presidentialization differs from personalization. From our results, it appears that mayors indeed attract a huge share of preferential votes, but also that most factors that influence personalization have an impact on presidentialization too. These include both individual variables (such as media attention and incumbency) and municipal variables (such as size of the municipality and number of parties). Although both trends differ in nature, the factors influencing them appear to be similar. |
Article |
De impact van digitale campagnemiddelen op de personalisering van politieke partijen in Nederland (2010-2014) |
Keywords | personalization, social media, election campaigns, party politics |
Authors | Kristof Jacobs and Niels Spierings |
AbstractAuthor's information |
Politicians have started to use social media more often. As such media induce personal campaigning, one might expect more personalization to follow. We explore what type of personalization social media stimulate, whether this is different for Twitter and Facebook and analyze the role of parties. We make use of quantitative and qualitative data about the Netherlands (2010-2014). We find that while theoretically the impact of social media may be big, in practice it is fairly limited: more presidentialization but not more individualization (though Twitter might increase the focus on other candidates slightly). The difference between theory and practice seems largely due to the parties. They adopt a very ambiguous stance: though they often stimulate candidates to use social media, they want to keep control nonetheless. |
Essay |
Personalisering door politici, in de media en bij kiezers: op zoek naar een referentiepunt |
Authors | Jan Kleinnijenhuis |
Author's information |
Symposium |
De internationalisering van het bama-onderwijs |
Authors | Peter Bursens, René Torenvlied and Isabelle De Coninck |
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Research Note |
Bruggen bouwen over politieke breuklijnen: deliberatieve democratie in diep verdeeld België |
Authors | Didier Caluwaerts and Kris Deschouwer |
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Research Note |
Europese desintegratie verklaard |
Authors | Hans Vollaard |
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Research Note |
De mobilisatie van wigissues in meerpartijenstelsels |
Authors | Marc Van de Wardt, Catherine E. de Vries and Sara B. Hobolt |
Author's information |